Sport Picks

USA

USL League Two

Louisville City 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dayton play Louisville City 2 in the USL League Two. Louisville City 2 are favorites here. Recently, Dayton averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Louisville City 2 averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Dayton won 0, Louisville City 2 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Dayton and 1.56 for Louisville City 2. This points to a Louisville City 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Dayton

15%

Draws

59%

Louisville City 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louisville City 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Dayton picked up more points recently compared to Louisville City 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Dayton Clean Sheet 15%

Louisville City 2 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dayton	Louisville City 2
Matches Played	30	11
Wins	8	6
Draws	4	1
Losses	18	4
Goals Scored	0.93	1.82
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 USL League Two

Louisville City 2 vs Dayton

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

May 27, 2026 USL League Two

Dayton vs Louisville City 2

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

2:3

May 13, 2026 USL League Two

Dayton vs Louisville City 2

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dayton 26 / 100

Louisville City 2 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dayton Louisville City 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louisville City 2 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Louisville City 2 & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dayton attacking → ← attacking Louisville City 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dayton scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Louisville City 2 let in goals in 64% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Dayton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Louisville City 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 19

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38