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DC Power W vs Carolina Ascent W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women Audi Field, Washington, DC
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Corbin M.
Assist: Merrick A.
39'
George M.
63'
Sub
Thomason T. In: Colbert K.
Out: Thomason T.

AI Match Summary

Carolina Ascent W in this USL Super League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carolina Ascent W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
DC Power W
30%
Draws
39%
Carolina Ascent W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carolina Ascent W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carolina Ascent W lately — more wins on the board than DC Power W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Carolina Ascent W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
DC Power W Clean Sheet 15%
Carolina Ascent W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC Power W Carolina Ascent W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
Mar 17, 2026 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs DC Power W
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs DC Power W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DC Power W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Carolina Ascent W Compare

Top Goalscorer Corbin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC Power W 31 / 100
Carolina Ascent W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC Power W Carolina Ascent W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carolina Ascent W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DC Power W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: DC Power W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Carolina Ascent W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

DC Power W VS Carolina Ascent W
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

DC Power W

(Home)
22 Sept
DC Power W
2 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United W
18 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Tampa Bay Sun W
13 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
2 : 1
DC Power W
04 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Sporting Jax W
29 Aug
Lexington W
1 : 2
DC Power W
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Carolina Ascent W

(Away)
26 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 3
Sporting Jax W
19 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 0
Brooklyn W
11 Sept
Lexington W
0 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
05 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 0
Fort Lauderdale United W
29 Aug
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 2
Tampa Bay Sun W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
2 DC Power W 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
3 Sporting Jax W 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
4 Lexington W 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
5 Dallas Trinity W 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
7 Brooklyn W 7 2 0 5 5:14 6
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 7 1 0 6 4:11 3
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)