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DC United vs Atlanta United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Audi Field, Washington, DC
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Amaro M.
56'
Sub
Ordaz N. In: Stroud J.
Out: Ordaz N.
56'
Sub
Hefti S. In: Hopkins J.
Out: Hefti S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
DC United
35%
Draws
35%
Atlanta United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atlanta United lately — more wins on the board than DC United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
DC United Clean Sheet 18%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC United Atlanta United
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 5 9
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 MLS
DC United vs Atlanta United
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs DC United
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs DC United
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 MLS
DC United vs Atlanta United
0:0
Jul 27, 2024 Leagues Cup
Atlanta United vs DC United
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC United 32 / 100
Atlanta United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC United Atlanta United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atlanta United conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: DC United scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: DC United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

DC United VS Atlanta United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

DC United

(Home)
30 Sept
DC United
0 : 1
Paderborn
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

Atlanta United

(Away)
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3
Orlando City
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Atlanta United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)