Sport Picks

Stadium Background

DC United vs Columbus Crew

USA USA

MLS Audi Field, Washington, DC
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Karumanchi T.
19'
Ruvalcaba C.
19'
Peglow

AI Match Summary

DC United in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored DC United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
DC United
20%
Draws
30%
Columbus Crew
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: DC United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • DC United haven't matched Columbus Crew's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans DC United's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
DC United Clean Sheet 19%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC United Columbus Crew
Matches Played 25 32
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 MLS
DC United vs Columbus Crew
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs DC United
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 MLS
DC United vs Columbus Crew
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 MLS
DC United vs Columbus Crew
2:2
Apr 6, 2024 MLS
Columbus Crew vs DC United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DC United Compare

Top Goalscorer Baribo T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC United 36 / 100
Columbus Crew 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC United Columbus Crew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Columbus Crew has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

DC United scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: DC United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

DC United VS Columbus Crew
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

DC United

(Home)
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0
Los Angeles FC
22 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
DC United
19 Aug
DC United
0 : 3
New England Revolution
15 Aug
CF Montreal
1 : 1
DC United
Page 1 of 5

Columbus Crew

(Away)
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
05 Sept
Columbus Crew
3 : 0
Colorado Rapids
30 Aug
Columbus Crew
1 : 3
New England Revolution
27 Aug
Club America
2 : 0
Columbus Crew
23 Aug
Nashville SC
3 : 2
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 23 14 4 5 52:21 46
2 Houston Dynamo 24 13 4 7 32:27 43
3 Los Angeles FC 25 11 7 7 40:24 40
4 FC Dallas 24 11 7 6 47:41 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes 24 11 5 8 43:36 38
6 St. Louis City 24 10 8 6 38:33 38
7 Colorado Rapids 24 10 2 12 32:32 32
8 Portland Timbers 24 9 5 10 46:45 32
9 San Diego FC 24 8 6 10 42:37 30
10 Real Salt Lake 23 8 5 10 37:37 29
11 Minnesota United 24 7 8 9 35:39 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 25 7 8 10 30:39 29
13 Seattle Sounders 22 7 6 9 24:29 27
14 Austin FC 24 6 8 10 30:43 26
15 Sporting Kansas City 23 4 3 16 23:58 15
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 24 16 5 3 48:19 53
2 Inter Miami 24 12 8 4 59:44 44
3 New England Revolution 24 12 4 8 39:30 40
4 Chicago Fire 23 11 6 6 44:33 39
5 Charlotte FC 24 11 6 7 42:33 39
6 Orlando City 24 9 4 11 41:56 31
7 FC Cincinnati 23 8 7 8 49:56 31
8 Philadelphia Union 24 8 6 10 41:39 30
9 New York City 24 7 8 9 37:33 29
10 Toronto FC 24 6 11 7 38:43 29
11 DC United 23 6 10 7 30:37 28
12 New York Red Bulls 24 7 6 11 32:48 27
13 Columbus Crew 24 6 5 13 35:41 23
14 Atlanta United 24 6 4 14 29:43 22
15 CF Montreal 24 5 6 13 31:50 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)