Sport Picks
DC United vs One Knoxville
USA
US Open Cup Audi Field, Washington, DC 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Turner G. In: Gabriel Pirani
Out: Turner G.
46'
46'
Sub
Hopkins J. In: Servania B.
Out: Hopkins J.
46'
46'
Sub
Kijima H. In: Stroud J.
Out: Kijima H.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-4. This leg finished 3-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: One Knoxville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- One Knoxville have won more games recently than DC United.
- Win probability leans DC United's way, sitting at 36%.
- One Knoxville arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor One Knoxville, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
DC United Clean Sheet 15%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DC United | One Knoxville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2026 US Open Cup
DC United vs One Knoxville
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
DC United Compare
Top Goalscorer Peltola M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Markovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
One Knoxville Compare
Top Goalscorer Krioutchenkov D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Diene B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DC United 35 / 100
One Knoxville 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DC United One Knoxville
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.
DC United found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
One Knoxville let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: DC United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
DC United VS One Knoxville
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
DC United
(Home) 27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3 DC United
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1 Columbus Crew
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0 Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1 Columbus Crew
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0 Los Angeles FC
19 Aug
DC United
0 : 3 New England Revolution
Page 1 of 3
One Knoxville
(Away) 27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City 1
Columbus Crew 2
St. Louis City 3
Colorado Rapids 0
Final
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -
