Sport Picks

Stadium Background

De Graafschap vs AEK

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
16'
27'

AI Match Summary

AEK in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
De Graafschap
15%
Draws
69%
AEK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • De Graafschap haven't matched AEK's recent run of results.
  • AEK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
AEK Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap AEK
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.93 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.37 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
De Graafschap vs AEK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Mambo B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Varga B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mantalos P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap 10 / 100
AEK 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap AEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: De Graafschap scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AEK let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: De Graafschap remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap VS AEK
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap

(Home)
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1
De Graafschap
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5
Jong AZ Alkmaar
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AEK

(Away)
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
02 Sept
Chrisoupolis
0 : 2
AEK
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