Sport Picks
De Graafschap vs Den Haag
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 De Vijverberg, Doetinchem 
Match Events
5'
5'
Kok T.
Own Goal
26'
26'
Peupion C.
46'
46'
Sub
El Kadiri I. In: Kaninda N.
Out: El Kadiri I.
AI Match Summary
Den Haag in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Den Haag.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Den Haag
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- De Graafschap haven't matched Den Haag's recent run of results.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | De Graafschap | Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Den Haag
1:2
Nov 25, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs De Graafschap
3:2
Feb 3, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Den Haag
1:2
Oct 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs De Graafschap
1:2
May 18, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs De Graafschap
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
De Graafschap Compare
Top Goalscorer Eggens N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Den Haag Compare
Top Goalscorer Vlak J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
De Graafschap 30 / 100
Den Haag 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
De Graafschap Den Haag
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Den Haag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
De Graafschap found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Den Haag has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Difficult form: Den Haag registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
De Graafschap VS Den Haag
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
De Graafschap
(Home) 29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1 De Graafschap
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5 Jong AZ Alkmaar
09 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 De Graafschap
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5 Jong AZ Alkmaar
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
25 Jul
De Graafschap
4 : 2 Kifisia
17 Jul
De Graafschap
3 : 6 Telstar
Page 1 of 4
Den Haag
(Away) 30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2 Den Haag
23 Aug
G.A. Eagles
3 : 1 Den Haag
16 Aug
Den Haag
1 : 4 Groningen
08 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0 Den Haag
31 Jul
Den Haag
0 : 0 Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2 Den Haag
23 Aug
G.A. Eagles
3 : 1 Den Haag
08 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0 Den Haag
24 Jul
Lommel SK
0 : 4 Den Haag
18 Jul
KV Mechelen
2 : 3 Den Haag
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
