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De Graafschap vs Lienden

World World

Club Friendly 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Chiazor D.
75' Event
Bakker H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2019 game between De Graafschap and Lienden finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward De Graafschap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
De Graafschap
15%
Draws
49%
Lienden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lienden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and De Graafschap come out ahead of Lienden on wins alone.
  • Lienden are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Lienden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap Lienden
Matches Played 27 19
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.81 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2019 Club Friendly
De Graafschap vs Lienden
2:0
Jul 26, 2015 Club Friendly
Lienden vs De Graafschap
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiazor D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakker H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Lienden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap 14 / 100
Lienden 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap Lienden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lienden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Lienden let in goals in 84% of their last 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Lienden's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap

(Home)
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1
De Graafschap
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Lienden

(Away)
08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0
HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3
OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3
Jong Den Haag
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