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De Graafschap vs Telstar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Darelas A.
30' Event
Hetli S.
32' Event
Hetli S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between De Graafschap and Telstar finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Telstar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
De Graafschap
20%
Draws
64%
Telstar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Telstar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Telstar have managed 1.59 goals a game lately — De Graafschap are scoring more at 1.82.
  • Model gives Telstar a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Telstar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Graafschap Telstar
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.82 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
De Graafschap vs Telstar
3:6
May 2, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Telstar
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs De Graafschap
2:2
Apr 12, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Telstar
5:1
Nov 10, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs De Graafschap
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Darelas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eijken D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Telstar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hetli S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Mendes R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Graafschap 22 / 100
Telstar 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Graafschap Telstar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telstar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: De Graafschap scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Telstar has conceded goals in 93% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Telstar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

De Graafschap VS Telstar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

De Graafschap

(Home)
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1
De Graafschap
17 Aug
De Graafschap
2 : 5
Jong AZ Alkmaar
09 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1
De Graafschap
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Telstar

(Away)
09 Sept
Twente
1 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
14 Aug
Telstar
1 : 3
Sparta Rotterdam
08 Aug
Nijmegen
1 : 2
Telstar
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