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De Treffers vs Spakenburg

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Zuid
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

De Treffers play Spakenburg in the Tweede Divisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, De Treffers averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Spakenburg averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, De Treffers won 2, Spakenburg won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for De Treffers and 1.31 for Spakenburg. This points to a De Treffers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
De Treffers
23%
Draws
33%
Spakenburg
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: De Treffers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • De Treffers picked up more points recently compared to Spakenburg.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
De Treffers Clean Sheet 18%
Spakenburg Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric De Treffers Spakenburg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.14 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tweede Divisie
De Treffers vs Spakenburg
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs De Treffers
0:5
Mar 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs De Treffers
1:3
Oct 19, 2024 Tweede Divisie
De Treffers vs Spakenburg
0:2
May 25, 2024 Tweede Divisie
De Treffers vs Spakenburg
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

De Treffers 43 / 100
Spakenburg 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
De Treffers Spakenburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: De Treffers or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

De Treffers attacking → ← attacking Spakenburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Treffers scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Spakenburg let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

De Treffers went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Spakenburg lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 48
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Quick Boys341910569:3566
2De Treffers34189764:3763
3HSV Hoek34196960:3763
4Rijnsburgse Boys341681076:5556
5Hardenberg341751258:4456
6Spakenburg341681072:6056
7Katwijk341571260:5552
8Jong Almere City341551470:6250
9Kozakken Boys341381347:5547
10Jong Sparta Rotterdam341291371:7345
11AFC341291346:5445
12Barendrecht341341762:8443
13RKAV Volendam341331850:6242
14GVVV341261652:6742
15Koninklijke HFC341231933:4939
16IJsselmeervogels34942146:6531
17Excelsior Maassluis34871939:5831
18ACV Assen34791848:7130