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Decic vs Arsenal Tivat

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Tusko, Tuzi
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Decic host Arsenal Tivat in the Prva Crnogorska Liga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Arsenal Tivat have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Decic have conceded 1.13 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Decic slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.13) point toward Decic. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Decic
6%
Draws
4%
Arsenal Tivat
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Decic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Decic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Decic's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Decic Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Decic Arsenal Tivat
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Decic vs Arsenal Tivat
4:1
May 20, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Arsenal Tivat
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Decic
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Arsenal Tivat
4:2
Sep 21, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Decic
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Decic 85 / 100
Arsenal Tivat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Decic Arsenal Tivat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Decic scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Arsenal Tivat has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Arsenal Tivat registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Decic VS Arsenal Tivat
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Decic

(Home)
15 Jul
Decic
1 : 2
FK Liepaja
09 Jul
FK Liepaja
1 : 0
Decic
04 Jul
Decic
4 : 1
Arsenal Tivat
17 Jun
Vllaznia
1 : 1
Decic
28 May
Decic
0 : 1
Mornar Bar
Page 1 of 7

Arsenal Tivat

(Away)
16 Jul
Zrinjski
6 : 0
Arsenal Tivat
08 Jul
Bokelj
3 : 1
Arsenal Tivat
04 Jul
Decic
4 : 1
Arsenal Tivat
01 Jul
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 0
Mladost DG
27 Jun
Buducnost
4 : 1
Arsenal Tivat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buducnost00000:00
2Decic00000:00
3Jezero00000:00
4Petrovac00000:00
5Sutjeska00000:00
6Mornar Bar00000:00
7Bokelj00000:00
8Arsenal Tivat00000:00
9Otrant00000:00
10Mladost DG00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)