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Decic vs Arsenal Tivat

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Tusko, Tuzi
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Vukcevic I.
58'
Sub
Cukovic M. In: Imamovic A.
Out: Cukovic M.
58'
Sub
Malisic P. In: Mandic S.
Out: Malisic P.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 game between Decic and Arsenal Tivat finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal Tivat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Decic
20%
Draws
30%
Arsenal Tivat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Decic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Decic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Decic are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Decic Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Decic Arsenal Tivat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Arsenal Tivat
0:0
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Decic vs Arsenal Tivat
4:1
May 20, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Arsenal Tivat
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Decic
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Arsenal Tivat
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Decic Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukcevic I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Decic 86 / 100
Arsenal Tivat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Decic Arsenal Tivat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Decic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Decic scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Arsenal Tivat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Decic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Decic VS Arsenal Tivat
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Decic

(Home)
20 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
09 Sept
Decic
1 : 1
Petrovac
05 Sept
Mladost DG
2 : 0
Decic
30 Aug
Decic
2 : 1
Jezero
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Arsenal Tivat

(Away)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
10 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 1
Mladost DG
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 2
Otrant
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sutjeska 36 22 6 8 61:36 72
2 Mornar Bar 36 20 9 7 51:29 69
3 Petrovac 36 13 12 11 44:36 51
4 Decic 36 14 9 13 43:45 51
5 Buducnost 36 13 9 14 36:35 48
6 Mladost DG 36 14 4 18 49:54 46
7 Arsenal Tivat 36 12 10 14 36:46 46
8 Jezero 36 10 11 15 38:48 41
9 Bokelj 36 8 12 16 38:48 36
10 Jedinstvo 36 9 8 19 30:49 35
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)