Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Decic vs Mornar Bar

Montenegro Montenegro

Montenegrin Cup Podgorica City Stadium, Podgorica
Decic Logo

Decic

0 - 1
FT
Mornar Bar Logo

Mornar Bar

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Kaludjerovic A.
36'
Radusinovic B.
58'
Sub
Zoric D. In: Vukcevic P.
Out: Zoric D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Decic
35%
Draws
19%
Mornar Bar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Decic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Decic haven't matched Mornar Bar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Decic's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Mornar Bar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mornar Bar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Decic Clean Sheet 68%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Decic Mornar Bar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Montenegrin Cup
Decic vs Mornar Bar
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Decic
1:0
Feb 25, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Mornar Bar
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mornar Bar vs Decic
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Decic vs Mornar Bar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Decic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Mornar Bar Compare

Top Goalscorer Denkovic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Decic 77 / 100
Mornar Bar 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Decic Mornar Bar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Decic scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Decic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mornar Bar has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Decic VS Mornar Bar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Decic

(Home)
08 Aug
Buducnost
0 : 2
Decic
02 Aug
Decic
0 : 0
Arsenal Tivat
15 Jul
Decic
1 : 2
FK Liepaja
09 Jul
FK Liepaja
1 : 0
Decic
04 Jul
Decic
4 : 1
Arsenal Tivat
Page 1 of 6

Mornar Bar

(Away)
07 Aug
Mornar Bar
0 : 0
Arsenal Tivat
02 Aug
Jezero
0 : 0
Mornar Bar
16 Jul
Mornar Bar
1 : 2
Atletic Escaldes
09 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 1
Mornar Bar
01 Jul
Mornar Bar
0 : 0
Petrovac
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Decic 3
Buducnost 2
Sutjeska 3
Lovcen 1
Jedinstvo 0
Petrovac 2
Otrant 2
Rudar 1
Iskra Danilovgrad 3
Arsenal Tivat 0
Mornar Bar 1
Grbalj 0
Igalo 0
Mladost DG 4
Jezero 4
Bokelj 3
Quarter-finals
Decic 2
Sutjeska 1
Petrovac 2
Otrant 3
Iskra Danilovgrad 0
Mornar Bar 4
Mladost DG 0
Jezero 2
Semi-finals
Decic 3
Otrant 1
Mornar Bar 3
Jezero 1
Final
Decic 0
Mornar Bar 1