Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Decisao vs Petrolina

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2025 Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos, Sertania
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mosquito M.
26' Event
Juan Kelsen
34'
Augusto

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2025 game between Decisao and Petrolina finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Decisao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Decisao
28%
Draws
22%
Petrolina
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Decisao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Decisao come out ahead of Petrolina on wins alone.
  • Model gives Decisao a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Decisao Clean Sheet 68%
Petrolina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Decisao Petrolina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2025 Pernambucano
Decisao vs Petrolina
3:0
Sep 29, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Petrolina vs Decisao
1:1
Jul 27, 2020 Pernambucano
Petrolina vs Decisao
1:1
Feb 12, 2020 Pernambucano
Petrolina vs Decisao
2:1
Oct 17, 2018 Pernambucano 2
Decisao vs Petrolina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Decisao Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosquito M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Juan Kelsen
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Petrolina Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Decisao 59 / 100
Petrolina 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Decisao Petrolina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Petrolina conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Decisao's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Petrolina's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Decisao VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Decisao

(Home)
14 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 0
Decisao
06 Jun
Decisao
1 : 1
Treze PB
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2
Sergipe
24 May
Decisao
0 : 1
Serra Branca
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
Page 1 of 6

Petrolina

(Away)
22 Feb
Petrolina
1 : 3
Sport Recife
17 Feb
Jaguar
2 : 1
Petrolina
09 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 1
Retro
02 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 0
Central SC
30 Jan
Decisao
3 : 0
Petrolina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Cruz962114:420
2Maguary952213:1017
3Nautico951315:916
4Sport Recife943217:815
5Decisao934211:1213
6Retro93338:1012
7Jaguar932410:1611
8Central SC92348:99
9Afogados da Ingazeira90545:135
10Petrolina90364:143
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Pernambucano (Main)