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Dedza Dynamos vs Chitipa United

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dedza Dynamos host Chitipa United in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Dedza Dynamos have averaged 0.25 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Chitipa United's 0.75 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Dedza Dynamos slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 19, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.31, favoring Chitipa United. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dedza Dynamos
33%
Draws
27%
Chitipa United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dedza Dynamos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Chitipa United have won more games recently than Dedza Dynamos.
  • Model gives Dedza Dynamos a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Dedza Dynamos Clean Sheet 18%
Chitipa United Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dedza Dynamos Chitipa United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Super League
Chitipa United vs Dedza Dynamos
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Chitipa United
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Super League
Chitipa United vs Dedza Dynamos
2:2
May 19, 2024 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Chitipa United
0:0
Aug 13, 2023 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Chitipa United
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dedza Dynamos 40 / 100
Chitipa United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dedza Dynamos Chitipa United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chitipa United let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Dedza Dynamos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chitipa United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dedza Dynamos VS Chitipa United
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blue Eagles961214:819
2Big Bullets954012:619
3Mighty Wanderers FC953118:618
4Silver Strikers953114:318
5Ekhaya943212:615
6Red Lions94328:615
7Masters FC950411:1015
8Moyale Barracks93338:1012
9Mitundu Baptist93248:1011
10Civo Utd93246:911
11Chitipa United93156:1210
12MAFCO92347:89
13Karonga United92349:149
14Dedza Dynamos92255:158
15Creck Sporting91266:135
16Kamuzu Barracks91177:154