Sport Picks

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Defensor La Bocana vs Atl. Bruces

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2022 Estadio Municipal de Bernal, Bernal
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Flores A.
89' Event
Mejia K.
90' Event
Leon C.

AI Match Summary

Defensor La Bocana in this Copa Peru 2022 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Defensor La Bocana
33%
Draws
27%
Atl. Bruces
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Defensor La Bocana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Defensor La Bocana lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Bruces.
  • Win probability leans Defensor La Bocana's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Defensor La Bocana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Defensor La Bocana, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Defensor La Bocana Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Bruces Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor La Bocana Atl. Bruces
Matches Played 30 3
Wins 10 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.75 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 3.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2022 Copa Peru
Defensor La Bocana vs Atl. Bruces
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensor La Bocana Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leon C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atl. Bruces Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor La Bocana 38 / 100
Atl. Bruces 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor La Bocana Atl. Bruces

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Bruces let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Attacking prowess: Defensor La Bocana scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Atl. Bruces registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensor La Bocana VS Atl. Bruces
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor La Bocana

(Home)
04 Dec
Defensor La Bocana
0 : 2
Comerciantes FC
30 Nov
Defensor La Bocana
0 : 3
Deportivo Garcilaso
27 Nov
Defensor La Bocana
2 : 1
Atl. Bruces
18 Nov
Los Caimanes
3 : 1
Defensor La Bocana
12 Nov
Defensor La Bocana
6 : 1
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Bruces

(Away)
04 Dec
Atl. Bruces
1 : 5
Deportivo Garcilaso
30 Nov
Atl. Bruces
1 : 4
Comerciantes FC
27 Nov
Defensor La Bocana
2 : 1
Atl. Bruces

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Garcilaso32108:17
2Comerciantes FC32106:17
3Defensor La Bocana31022:63
4Atl. Bruces30033:110
Promotion - Liga 1 2023 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2023 (Main)