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Defensor La Bocana vs Sport Ancash

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2017 Estadio Municipal de Bernal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2017 game between Defensor La Bocana and Sport Ancash finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensor La Bocana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Defensor La Bocana
28%
Draws
22%
Sport Ancash
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Defensor La Bocana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Defensor La Bocana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Defensor La Bocana a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Defensor La Bocana Clean Sheet 10%
Sport Ancash Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor La Bocana Sport Ancash
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2017 Liga 2
Defensor La Bocana vs Sport Ancash
3:2
May 28, 2017 Liga 2
Sport Ancash vs Defensor La Bocana
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor La Bocana 47 / 100
Sport Ancash 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor La Bocana Sport Ancash

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Ancash let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensor La Bocana scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sport Ancash lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensor La Bocana VS Sport Ancash
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Boys28169354:2357
2Cesar Vallejo28169376:2957
3Hualgayoc28146870:4446
4Union Huaral281431156:5745
5Los Chankas281111642:2744
6Cienciano28138761:4143
7Carlos Mannucci281011753:3841
8Sport Victoria281071136:4437
9Deportivo Coopsol27811845:4635
10Sport Loreto28961339:4833
11Alfredo Salinas277101041:5327
12Willy Serrato28661633:6824
13Los Caimanes28841641:5922
14Defensor La Bocana28931649:7316
15Sport Ancash28361927:7313