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Defensor San Alejandro vs Sport Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2014 game between Defensor San Alejandro and Sport Boys finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensor San Alejandro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Defensor San Alejandro
15%
Draws
49%
Sport Boys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Defensor San Alejandro haven't matched Sport Boys's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Defensor San Alejandro a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor San Alejandro Sport Boys
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Sport Boys
4:1
May 18, 2014 Liga 2
Sport Boys vs Defensor San Alejandro
0:0
Aug 19, 2013 Liga 2
Sport Boys vs Defensor San Alejandro
0:0
May 12, 2013 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Sport Boys
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor San Alejandro 42 / 100
Sport Boys 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor San Alejandro Sport Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensor San Alejandro's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sport Boys conceded in 60% of 40 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Sport Boys lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sport Boys
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor San Alejandro

(Home)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

Sport Boys

(Away)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Municipal 30 18 7 5 49:29 61
2 Deportivo Coopsol 30 17 7 6 53:26 58
3 Carlos Mannucci 30 17 4 9 46:32 55
4 Alianza Huanuco 30 15 8 7 51:30 53
5 Willy Serrato 30 12 10 8 44:37 46
6 Union Huaral 30 11 7 12 38:37 40
7 Defensor San Alejandro 30 10 9 11 37:37 39
8 Atl. Minero 30 10 9 11 30:40 39
9 Atletico Torino 30 9 10 11 37:34 37
10 Pacifico 30 9 8 13 33:44 35
11 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 30 11 6 13 36:50 35
12 Sport Boys 30 8 13 9 42:47 33
13 Sport Victoria 30 7 10 13 31:38 31
14 Comerciantes Unidos 30 7 9 14 29:36 30
15 Jose Galvez 30 7 10 13 25:39 25
16 Walter Ormeno 30 4 9 17 21:46 19
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)