Sport Picks
Defensor Sp. vs Central Esp.
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo 
Match Events
34'
34'
Medina N.
43'
43'
Urrutia M.
46'
46'
Sub
Campos N. In: Muniz R.
Out: Campos N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Central Esp.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Central Esp. lately — more wins on the board than Defensor Sp..
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 21%
Central Esp. Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensor Sp. | Central Esp. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Defensor Sp.
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Central Esp.
0:0
Oct 2, 2025 Copa Uruguay
Defensor Sp. vs Central Esp.
2:0
Oct 5, 2021 Segunda Division
Central Esp. vs Defensor Sp.
1:0
Jun 26, 2021 Segunda Division
Defensor Sp. vs Central Esp.
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensor Sp. 37 / 100
Central Esp. 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensor Sp. Central Esp.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensor Sp.'s goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Central Esp. let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Defensor Sp. stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Defensor Sp. VS Central Esp.
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensor Sp.
(Home) 09 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1 Wanderers
03 Aug
Defensor Sp.
2 : 1 CA Cerro
25 Jul
Defensor Sp.
1 : 2 Liverpool M.
13 Jul
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
04 Jul
Cruzeiro
2 : 0 Defensor Sp.
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1 Wanderers
03 Aug
Defensor Sp.
2 : 1 CA Cerro
25 Jul
Defensor Sp.
1 : 2 Liverpool M.
07 Jun
Defensor Sp.
1 : 1 Boston River
24 May
Defensor Sp.
0 : 2 Penarol
Page 1 of 3
Central Esp.
(Away) 08 Aug
Central Esp.
1 : 0 Progreso
02 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 0 Liverpool M.
25 Jul
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Cerro Largo
12 Jul
Boston River
0 : 0 Central Esp.
06 Jun
Central Esp.
1 : 1 Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Boston River
0 : 0 Central Esp.
01 Jun
Penarol
0 : 1 Central Esp.
24 May
CA Cerro
1 : 0 Central Esp.
03 May
Boston River
2 : 1 Central Esp.
17 Apr
Albion
6 : 1 Central Esp.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
