Sport Picks
Defensor Sp. vs Progreso
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Defensor Sp. in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensor Sp..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Progreso at 0.75 per game, Defensor Sp. at 0.72.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensor Sp. | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensor Sp. Compare
Progreso Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Progreso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Progreso lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensor Sp. found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Defensor Sp.
(Home)Progreso
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
