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Defensor Sp. vs Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
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Match Events

10'
Neris J.
33'
Rabunal M.
38'
Agazzi L.

AI Match Summary

Wanderers in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Defensor Sp.
15%
Draws
53%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Wanderers have won more games recently than Defensor Sp..
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 17%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor Sp. Wanderers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Wanderers
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Defensor Sp.
1:1
Oct 6, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Wanderers
2:1
Jun 17, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Defensor Sp.
0:0
Apr 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Defensor Sp.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensor Sp. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Labandeira F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor Sp. 36 / 100
Wanderers 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor Sp. Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensor Sp. scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Wanderers has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Defensor Sp. went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensor Sp. VS Wanderers
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor Sp.

(Home)
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Danubio
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Maldonado
Page 1 of 6

Wanderers

(Away)
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
04 Oct
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Wanderers
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
2 Montevideo City 9 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Penarol 9 6 2 1 15:6 19
4 Maldonado 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
5 Club Nacional 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
6 Wanderers 9 4 3 2 12:11 15
7 Juventud 9 3 5 1 10:6 14
8 CA Cerro 9 4 2 3 9:11 14
9 Racing Montevideo 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Progreso 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
11 Boston River 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
12 Defensor Sp. 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Danubio 9 1 4 4 4:10 7
14 Cerro Largo 9 0 5 4 6:12 5
15 Central Esp. 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
16 Albion 9 1 0 8 9:18 3
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)