Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defensor Sp. vs Wanderers

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Neris J.
33'
Rabunal M.
38'
Agazzi L.

AI Match Summary

Wanderers in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Defensor Sp.
15%
Draws
64%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Wanderers have won more games recently than Defensor Sp..
  • Model gives Wanderers a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 15%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor Sp. Wanderers
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Wanderers
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Defensor Sp.
1:1
Oct 6, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Wanderers
2:1
Jun 17, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Defensor Sp.
0:0
Apr 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Defensor Sp.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensor Sp. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Labandeira F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor Sp. 27 / 100
Wanderers 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor Sp. Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wanderers let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Defensor Sp. scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Defensor Sp. went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensor Sp. VS Wanderers
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor Sp.

(Home)
09 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Wanderers
03 Aug
Defensor Sp.
2 : 1
CA Cerro
25 Jul
Defensor Sp.
1 : 2
Liverpool M.
13 Jul
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
04 Jul
Cruzeiro
2 : 0
Defensor Sp.
Page 1 of 7

Wanderers

(Away)
09 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Wanderers
05 Aug
Penarol
5 : 1
Wanderers
31 Jul
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Wanderers
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Wanderers
2 : 0
Progreso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 CA Cerro 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Liverpool M. 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Wanderers 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Central Esp. 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Racing Montevideo 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
7 Maldonado 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Juventud 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Cerro Largo 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Penarol 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Montevideo City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Club Nacional 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Progreso 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Danubio 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Defensor Sp. 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Albion 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)