Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Defensor Sp. W vs Ferroviaria W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2022 Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Rafa Mineira

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria W in this Copa Libertadores Women 2022 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Defensor Sp. W
6%
Draws
90%
Ferroviaria W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferroviaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Defensor Sp. W haven't matched Ferroviaria W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ferroviaria W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Ferroviaria W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ferroviaria W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Defensor Sp. W Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor Sp. W Ferroviaria W
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 0 16
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 Copa Libertadores Women
Defensor Sp. W vs Ferroviaria W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensor Sp. W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ferroviaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafa Mineira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor Sp. W 10 / 100
Ferroviaria W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor Sp. W Ferroviaria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Defensor Sp. W scored in 33% of their last 3 outings.

Ferroviaria W let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Ferroviaria W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviaria W
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor Sp. W

(Home)
19 Oct
Nanas W
4 : 3
Defensor Sp. W
16 Oct
Defensor Sp. W
0 : 1
Ferroviaria W
13 Oct
Defensor Sp. W
0 : 2
Boca Juniors W

Ferroviaria W

(Away)
17 Jul
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
24 May
Atletico-MG W
2 : 3
Ferroviaria W
21 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 1
Palmeiras W
18 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 0
Vitoria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali W330014:39
2Corinthians W320110:26
3Olimpia Asuncion W31023:63
4Always Ready W30031:170
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boca Juniors W32108:47
2Ferroviaria W32104:27
3Nanas W31026:83
4Defensor Sp. W30033:70
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras W330012:19
2U. De Chile W320110:56
3Independiente del Valle W31022:103
4Libertad Limpeno W30032:100
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Cali W330011:19
2S. Morning W32018:16
3A. Lima W30122:41
4Lara W30121:161
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2022 (Play Offs)