Sport Picks
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Alvarado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Salomon Boeseldin, Villa Ram 
Match Events
11'
11'
Roige E.
19'
19'
Cervera G.
35'
35'
Gutierrez S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alvarado
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alvarado lately — more wins on the board than Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo.
- Model gives Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo a 36% chance of winning this.
- Alvarado arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 20%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2:0
Sep 27, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Alvarado
2:2
May 5, 2019 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:0
Feb 18, 2019 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0:0
May 5, 2018 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Alvarado
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare
Top Goalscorer Roige E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Latof B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Alvarado Compare
Top Goalscorer Cervera G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gutierrez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 36 / 100
Alvarado 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Alvarado
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Alvarado let in goals in 39% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo VS Alvarado
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
(Home) 04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 San Martin Formosa
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 San Martin Formosa
23 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
12 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 0 Douglas Haig
02 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
Page 1 of 3
Alvarado
(Away) 04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0 Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0 Alvarado
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2 Alvarado
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Alvarado
08 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 2 Alvarado
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
San Martin Formosa 2
Biblioteca Atenas 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 4
Alvarado 4
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 2
Cipolletti 6
Sol de America 2
Semi-finals
San Martin Formosa -
Olimpo Bahia Blanca -
Alvarado -
Cipolletti -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
