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Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Bartolome Mitre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Salomon Boeseldin, Villa Ram
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Roige E.
43'
Romero W.
44'
Esquivel L.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo and Bartolome Mitre finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
20%
Draws
29%
Bartolome Mitre
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bartolome Mitre haven't matched Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 68%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Bartolome Mitre
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.21 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Bartolome Mitre
1:0
Jul 28, 2025 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare

Top Goalscorer Roige E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bartolome Mitre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 77 / 100
Bartolome Mitre 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Bartolome Mitre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Bartolome Mitre has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo VS Bartolome Mitre
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

(Home)
04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2
Alvarado
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0
San Martin Formosa
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6

Bartolome Mitre

(Away)
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0
San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1
Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0
Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3
Douglas Haig
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
3 Sol de America 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 8 4 1 3 6:3 13
5 Douglas Haig 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
7 Bartolome Mitre 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
8 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alvarado 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
4 Biblioteca Atenas 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
5 Kimberley 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
6 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
8 Huracan Las Heras 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)