Sport Picks
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Salomon Boeseldin, Villa Ram 
Match Events
7'
7'
D'Amelio X.
14'
14'
Morales E.
25'
25'
Bacas T.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo and Gimnasia Chivilcoy finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Gimnasia Chivilcoy have managed 0.9 goals a game lately — Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo are scoring more at 1.14.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Gimnasia Chivilcoy have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | Gimnasia Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2:2
May 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
3:0
Jul 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0:1
May 4, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 41 / 100
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Gimnasia Chivilcoy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy has conceded goals in 41% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo VS Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
(Home) 04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 San Martin Formosa
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 San Martin Formosa
23 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
12 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 0 Douglas Haig
02 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
Page 1 of 3
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
(Away) 10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Sol de America
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Douglas Haig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Bartolome Mitre | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Argentino MM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
