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Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs San Martin Formosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Salomon Boeseldin, Villa Ram
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Bacas T.
43'
Nunez G.
55'
Ceratto L.

AI Match Summary

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
30%
Draws
37%
San Martin Formosa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Martin Formosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo haven't matched San Martin Formosa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 24%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo San Martin Formosa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs San Martin Formosa
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs San Martin Formosa
0:0
Jul 10, 2022 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:0
Mar 27, 2022 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs San Martin Formosa
1:2
Jan 31, 2020 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare

Top Goalscorer Avalos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

San Martin Formosa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 37 / 100
San Martin Formosa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo San Martin Formosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin Formosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

San Martin Formosa has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo VS San Martin Formosa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

(Home)
04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2
Alvarado
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0
San Martin Formosa
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6

San Martin Formosa

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin Formosa
1 : 1
Biblioteca Atenas
27 Sept
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 1
San Martin Formosa
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0
San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0
San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
3 Sol de America 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 8 4 1 3 6:3 13
5 Douglas Haig 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
7 Bartolome Mitre 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
8 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alvarado 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
4 Biblioteca Atenas 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
5 Kimberley 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
6 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
8 Huracan Las Heras 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)