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Stadium Background

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Sportivo Belgrano

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Salomon Boeseldin
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Principiano L.
13'
Caviglia J.
58'
Sub
Bertacin J. In: Roige E.
Out: Bertacin J.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo and Sportivo Belgrano finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
28%
Draws
22%
Sportivo Belgrano
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo haven't matched Sportivo Belgrano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Belgrano Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Sportivo Belgrano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Sportivo Belgrano
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Sportivo Belgrano
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs Sportivo Belgrano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare

Top Goalscorer Marnini N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sportivo Belgrano Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercado E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 59 / 100
Sportivo Belgrano 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Sportivo Belgrano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sportivo Belgrano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo VS Sportivo Belgrano
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512