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Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Juan Pasquale, Belgrano
Defensores de Belgrano Logo

Defensores de Belgrano

0 - 2
FT
Almirante Brown Logo

Almirante Brown

Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Sub
Villoldo T. In: Velurtas P.
Out: Villoldo T.
42' Event
Zanotti M.
Assist: Jara L.
59'
Sub
Ardaiz J. In: Garcia D.
Out: Ardaiz J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almirante Brown in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almirante Brown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Defensores de Belgrano
35%
Draws
13%
Almirante Brown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Defensores de Belgrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Almirante Brown have won more games recently than Defensores de Belgrano.
  • Model gives Defensores de Belgrano a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Defensores de Belgrano Clean Sheet 68%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores de Belgrano Almirante Brown
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.71 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
0:2
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Defensores de Belgrano
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Defensores de Belgrano
1:2
Jun 6, 2025 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
1:1
Sep 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores de Belgrano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Almirante Brown Compare

Top Goalscorer Zanotti M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santiago M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Belgrano 68 / 100
Almirante Brown 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores de Belgrano Almirante Brown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores de Belgrano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Defensores de Belgrano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Almirante Brown's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensores de Belgrano's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Defensores de Belgrano VS Almirante Brown
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores de Belgrano

(Home)
04 Oct
Chaco For Ever
2 : 2
Defensores de Belgrano
27 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 1
Ferro
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1
Defensores de Belgrano
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1
Deportivo Madryn
09 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
1 : 1
Los Andes
Page 1 of 6

Almirante Brown

(Away)
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Almirante Brown
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)