Sport Picks
Match Events
49'
49'
Fernandez R.
54'
54'
Calvo S.
Own Goal
59'
59'
Meschini A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera C game between Defensores de Cambaceres and Mercedes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores de Cambaceres.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mercedes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mercedes come out ahead of Defensores de Cambaceres on wins alone.
- Mercedes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Defensores de Cambaceres Clean Sheet 16%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensores de Cambaceres | Mercedes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2026 Primera C
Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes
2:1
Jun 20, 2025 Primera C
Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes
2:1
Mar 7, 2025 Primera C
Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 Primera C
Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 Primera C
Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensores de Cambaceres Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Meschini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Mercedes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensores de Cambaceres 10 / 100
Mercedes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensores de Cambaceres Mercedes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Defensores de Cambaceres found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Mercedes has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Defensores de Cambaceres has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Defensores de Cambaceres VS Mercedes
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensores de Cambaceres
(Home) 26 Jul
Juventud Unida San Miguel
3 : 1 Defensores de Cambaceres
17 Jul
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 0 General Lamadrid
11 Jul
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 2 Sacachispas
04 Jul
Argentino de Rosario
1 : 1 Defensores de Cambaceres
28 Jun
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 3 Estrella Del Sur
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 0 General Lamadrid
11 Jul
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 2 Sacachispas
28 Jun
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 3 Estrella Del Sur
15 Jun
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 1 Berazategui
30 May
Defensores de Cambaceres
1 : 1 CSR Espanol
Page 1 of 3
Mercedes
(Away) 25 Jul
Berazategui
0 : 1 Mercedes
18 Jul
Mercedes
2 : 0 El Porvenir
12 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1 Victoriano Arenas
06 Jul
CSR Espanol
0 : 3 Mercedes
27 Jun
Mercedes
5 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Berazategui
0 : 1 Mercedes
06 Jul
CSR Espanol
0 : 3 Mercedes
14 Jun
CA Lugano
1 : 0 Mercedes
30 May
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 1 Mercedes
18 May
Deportivo Espanol
1 : 0 Mercedes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 24:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Mercedes | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 22:11 | 32 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 23:15 | 32 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 25:19 | 32 |
| 5 | Estrella Del Sur | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22:17 | 31 |
| 6 | CSR Espanol | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26:18 | 30 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 18:19 | 30 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 17:13 | 28 |
| 9 | Leandro N. Alem | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24:33 | 26 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 16:24 | 22 |
| 12 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 9:18 | 20 |
| 13 | Argentino de Rosario | 21 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10:26 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Lujan | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 25:15 | 36 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 23:13 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 18:14 | 31 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 29 |
| 5 | General Lamadrid | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | 29 |
| 6 | Yupanqui | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 20 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 15:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Atlas | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 16:18 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14:15 | 23 |
| 11 | CSD Central Ballester | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 19:24 | 22 |
| 12 | Claypole | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15:23 | 22 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15:20 | 21 |
| 14 | Fenix | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13:21 | 20 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)