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Defensores de Glew vs Estrella de Berisso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Defensores de Glew and Estrella de Berisso finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores de Glew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Defensores de Glew
30%
Draws
19%
Estrella de Berisso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores de Glew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Defensores de Glew come out ahead of Estrella de Berisso on wins alone.
  • Model gives Defensores de Glew a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Defensores de Glew Clean Sheet 68%
Estrella de Berisso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores de Glew Estrella de Berisso
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2.34 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Estrella de Berisso
4:0
Jun 23, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Estrella de Berisso
4:1
Sep 4, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Glew 95 / 100
Estrella de Berisso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores de Glew Estrella de Berisso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores de Glew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Defensores de Glew scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensores de Glew has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Estrella de Berisso conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Defensores de Glew VS Estrella de Berisso
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores de Glew

(Home)
04 Oct
Defensores de Glew
1 : 1
Uribelarrea
30 Sept
Uribelarrea
0 : 1
Defensores de Glew
19 Sept
Defensores de Glew
1 : 1
Buenos Aires City
14 Sept
Buenos Aires City
0 : 3
Defensores de Glew
07 Sept
Defensores de Glew
3 : 1
Nautico Hacoaj
Page 1 of 6

Estrella de Berisso

(Away)
07 Sept
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 3
Social Atletico Television
01 Sept
Juventud de Bernal
2 : 2
Estrella de Berisso
24 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
2 : 3
Nautico Hacoaj
17 Aug
Defensores de Glew
4 : 0
Estrella de Berisso
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0
Provincial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)