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Defensores de Glew vs Provincial

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Defensores de Glew in this Torneo Promocional Amateur matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensores de Glew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Defensores de Glew
6%
Draws
4%
Provincial
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Defensores de Glew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Provincial haven't matched Defensores de Glew's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Defensores de Glew a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Defensores de Glew Clean Sheet 68%
Provincial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores de Glew Provincial
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Provincial
4:2
Sep 8, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Provincial
2:2
Apr 13, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Defensores de Glew
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Glew 95 / 100
Provincial 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores de Glew Provincial

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensores de Glew scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Provincial let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Defensores de Glew stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Defensores de Glew VS Provincial
2.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Social Atletico Television760111:218
2Deportivo Metalurgico751112:416
3Nautico Hacoaj742110:314
4Defensores de Glew732214:711
5Estrella de Berisso72236:108
6Provincial72057:126
7Atletico Pilar71155:124
8Juventud de Bernal71064:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Academia Control Orientado842211:814
3Belgrano Zarate93426:513
4Uribelarrea83325:312
5Ezeiza83327:712
6Buenos Aires City82336:69
7Everton La Plata82245:78
8Alumni Los Hornos92256:98
9Las Mandarinas82246:108