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Defensores de Vilelas vs Boca Unidos Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio del Club Defensores De Vilelas, Puerto Vilelas
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Larrasabal L.
45'
Acevedo M.
46'
Sub
Mbombaj G. In: Pavon S.
Out: Mbombaj G.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Defensores de Vilelas and Boca Unidos finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores de Vilelas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Defensores de Vilelas
35%
Draws
40%
Boca Unidos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boca Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Boca Unidos come out ahead of Defensores de Vilelas on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Defensores de Vilelas have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 17%
Boca Unidos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensores de Vilelas Boca Unidos
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.46 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Defensores de Vilelas
3:3
Jun 6, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Boca Unidos
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Defensores de Vilelas
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Defensores de Vilelas Compare

Top Goalscorer Larrasabal L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Boca Unidos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensores de Vilelas 31 / 100
Boca Unidos 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensores de Vilelas Boca Unidos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Defensores de Vilelas scored in 67% of their last 24 outings.

Boca Unidos let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Defensores de Vilelas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Defensores de Vilelas VS Boca Unidos
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensores de Vilelas

(Home)
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3
Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1
Defensores de Vilelas
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0
El Linqueno
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0
Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 5

Boca Unidos

(Away)
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3
Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
El Linqueno
1 : 0
Boca Unidos
06 Sept
Boca Unidos
1 : 0
Gimnasia E.R.
29 Aug
Tucuman Central
2 : 2
Boca Unidos
23 Aug
Boca Unidos
1 : 0
Sportivo Las Parejas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)