Sport Picks
Defensores de Vilelas vs Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio del Club Defensores De Vilelas, Puerto Vilelas 
Match Events
32'
32'
Larrasabal L.
36'
36'
52'
52'
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Defensores de Vilelas and Independiente Chivilcoy finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores de Vilelas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente Chivilcoy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Independiente Chivilcoy have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Defensores de Vilelas are scoring more at 1.46.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Defensores de Vilelas taking it.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 20%
Independiente Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensores de Vilelas | Independiente Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Independiente Chivilcoy
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensores de Vilelas Compare
Top Goalscorer Larrasabal L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carballo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Independiente Chivilcoy Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensores de Vilelas 36 / 100
Independiente Chivilcoy 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensores de Vilelas Independiente Chivilcoy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensores de Vilelas found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Defensores de Vilelas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Independiente Chivilcoy has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Defensores de Vilelas VS Independiente Chivilcoy
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensores de Vilelas
(Home) 19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3 Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1 Defensores de Vilelas
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0 El Linqueno
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 5
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0 El Linqueno
12 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
4 : 3 Tucuman Central
03 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
4 : 1 Sarmiento Resistencia
04 Jul
Defensores de Vilelas
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 3
Independiente Chivilcoy
(Away) 19 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
3 : 0 Atletico Escobar
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
06 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 0 El Linqueno
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Tucuman Central
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
16 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
08 Aug
Boca Unidos
1 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
12 Jul
El Linqueno
2 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia E.R. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | El Linqueno | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores de Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Brava | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 2 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Fundacion Amigos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Germinal | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 10 | Santamarina | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
