Sport Picks
Defensores de Vilelas vs Tucuman Central Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio del Club Defensores De Vilelas, Puerto Vilelas 
Match Events
6'
6'
Montenegro V.
8'
8'
Carballo G.
45'
45'
Perdigon M.
AI Match Summary
Defensores de Vilelas in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensores de Vilelas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores de Vilelas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Defensores de Vilelas lately — more wins on the board than Tucuman Central.
- Model gives Defensores de Vilelas a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Defensores de Vilelas here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 68%
Tucuman Central Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Defensores de Vilelas | Tucuman Central |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 24 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Tucuman Central
4:3
May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Tucuman Central vs Defensores de Vilelas
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Tucuman Central
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Defensores de Vilelas Compare
Top Goalscorer Carballo G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Niz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Tucuman Central Compare
Top Goalscorer Montenegro V.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Defensores de Vilelas 95 / 100
Tucuman Central 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Defensores de Vilelas Tucuman Central
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensores de Vilelas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Attacking prowess: Defensores de Vilelas scored in 67% of their last 24 outings.
Tucuman Central let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.
Recent resilience: Defensores de Vilelas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Defensores de Vilelas VS Tucuman Central
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Defensores de Vilelas
(Home) 19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3 Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1 Defensores de Vilelas
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0 El Linqueno
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 5
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0 El Linqueno
12 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
4 : 3 Tucuman Central
03 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
4 : 1 Sarmiento Resistencia
04 Jul
Defensores de Vilelas
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 3
Tucuman Central
(Away) 13 Sept
Tucuman Central
0 : 4 Sportivo Las Parejas
05 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 0 Tucuman Central
29 Aug
Tucuman Central
2 : 2 Boca Unidos
23 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Tucuman Central
15 Aug
Tucuman Central
2 : 3 Atletico Escobar
Page 1 of 5
05 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 0 Tucuman Central
23 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Tucuman Central
12 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
4 : 3 Tucuman Central
02 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
4 : 0 Tucuman Central
12 Jul
Juventud Antoniana
3 : 1 Tucuman Central
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia E.R. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | El Linqueno | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores de Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Brava | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 2 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Fundacion Amigos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Germinal | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 10 | Santamarina | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
