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Degerfors vs IFK Goteborg Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Stora Valla, Degerfors
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Vukojevic D.
Assist: Igonen M.
25' Event
Vukojevic D.
Assist: Dzabic R.
30' Event
Diatara S.
Assist: Skuseth N.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Degerfors and IFK Goteborg finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Degerfors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Degerfors
15%
Draws
71%
IFK Goteborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Goteborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IFK Goteborg come out ahead of Degerfors on wins alone.
  • Model gives IFK Goteborg a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors IFK Goteborg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 16%
IFK Goteborg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Degerfors IFK Goteborg
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs IFK Goteborg
3:0
Aug 2, 2026 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Svenska Cupen
IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors
3:1
Aug 4, 2025 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors
3:0
May 19, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs IFK Goteborg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Degerfors Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukojevic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diatara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

IFK Goteborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Degerfors 10 / 100
IFK Goteborg 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Degerfors IFK Goteborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Goteborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Goteborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Degerfors scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Degerfors has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Degerfors VS IFK Goteborg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Degerfors

(Home)
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
Brommapojkarna
2 : 0
Degerfors
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IFK Goteborg

(Away)
19 Sept
Brommapojkarna
0 : 1
IFK Goteborg
12 Sept
IFK Goteborg
2 : 1
Halmstad
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
02 Sept
Olympic
0 : 5
IFK Goteborg
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)