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Degerfors vs Vasteras SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Stora Valla, Degerfors
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Degerfors host Vasteras SK in the Allsvenskan. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Degerfors have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Vasteras SK's 1.59 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Degerfors slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.25) back Vasteras SK to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Degerfors
20%
Draws
44%
Vasteras SK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasteras SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Vasteras SK have won more games recently than Degerfors.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 19%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Degerfors Vasteras SK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Degerfors
2:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Degerfors
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Degerfors vs Vasteras SK
1:0
Jul 15, 2024 Club Friendly
Degerfors vs Vasteras SK
3:1
Apr 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Degerfors vs Vasteras SK
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Degerfors 36 / 100
Vasteras SK 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Degerfors Vasteras SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasteras SK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Degerfors scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Vasteras SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Degerfors stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Degerfors VS Vasteras SK
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Degerfors

(Home)
10 Oct
Mjallby
1 : 1
Degerfors
03 Oct
Brage
1 : 1
Degerfors
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
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Vasteras SK

(Away)
09 Oct
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
03 Oct
Hammarby
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 23 17 3 3 53:28 54
2 Djurgarden 23 14 2 7 48:21 44
3 Hammarby 23 13 4 6 49:21 43
4 Elfsborg 23 11 7 5 35:22 40
5 Hacken 23 10 9 4 42:30 39
6 Malmo FF 23 11 3 9 38:33 36
7 Vasteras SK 23 10 5 8 34:36 35
8 IFK Goteborg 23 10 5 8 32:41 35
9 AIK 23 9 6 8 36:40 33
10 GAIS 23 8 6 9 28:21 30
11 Brommapojkarna 23 8 6 9 36:41 30
12 Mjallby 23 5 8 10 28:39 23
13 Degerfors 23 5 5 13 20:35 20
14 Kalmar 23 5 4 14 21:37 19
15 Orgryte 23 3 6 14 25:52 15
16 Halmstad 23 3 5 15 16:44 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)