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Dekedda vs Badbaado

Somalia Somalia

National league
Dekedda Logo

Dekedda

3 - 2
FT
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Dekedda and Badbaado finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dekedda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Dekedda
15%
Draws
27%
Badbaado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Badbaado haven't matched Dekedda's recent run of results.
  • Dekedda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dekedda have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 14%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dekedda Badbaado
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.1 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Dekedda
1:3
May 11, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Badbaado
3:2
Feb 19, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Badbaado
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Dekedda
0:1
Jul 20, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Dekedda
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dekedda 84 / 100
Badbaado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dekedda Badbaado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dekedda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Badbaado has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Dekedda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dekedda's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dekedda VS Badbaado
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dekedda

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
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Badbaado

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)