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Dekedda vs Heegan

Somalia Somalia

National league
Dekedda Logo

Dekedda

0 - 3
FT
Heegan Logo

Heegan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Dekedda and Heegan finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heegan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Dekedda
20%
Draws
35%
Heegan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Heegan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dekedda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 14%
Heegan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dekedda Heegan
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 20
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 2.06 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Heegan
0:3
Dec 31, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Dekedda
0:0
May 4, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Dekedda
2:1
Jan 20, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Heegan
1:0
Jun 13, 2024 National league
Dekedda vs Heegan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dekedda 84 / 100
Heegan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dekedda Heegan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dekedda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dekedda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Dekedda scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Heegan has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dekedda VS Heegan
3.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dekedda

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
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Heegan

(Away)
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)