Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Delfin vs LDU Quito

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Zubeldia J.
14' Event
Mendoza E.
24'
Luna Tobar C.

AI Match Summary

Delfin in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Delfin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Delfin
20%
Draws
57%
LDU Quito
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LDU Quito lately — more wins on the board than Delfin.
  • Model gives LDU Quito a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Delfin Clean Sheet 20%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin LDU Quito
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.72 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Delfin
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs LDU Quito
1:0
Jul 6, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs LDU Quito
0:4
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Delfin
3:0
Sep 29, 2024 Liga Pro
Delfin vs LDU Quito
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

LDU Quito Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 16 / 100
LDU Quito 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin LDU Quito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: LDU Quito conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Delfin's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Delfin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS LDU Quito
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
09 Aug
Delfin
1 : 1
Orense
04 Aug
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Delfin
26 Jul
Delfin
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
21 Jul
Libertad
1 : 0
Delfin
18 Jul
Delfin
2 : 1
Macara
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LDU Quito

(Away)
08 Aug
LDU Quito
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
04 Aug
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Delfin
30 Jul
LDU Quito
6 : 0
Leones del Norte
27 Jul
Barcelona SC
0 : 1
LDU Quito
23 Jul
Manta
1 : 1
LDU Quito
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 24 20 1 3 58:22 61
2 Macara 24 12 5 7 32:24 41
3 Aucas 24 12 5 7 29:25 41
4 U. Catolica 23 11 6 6 38:19 39
5 Barcelona SC 24 9 8 7 25:20 35
6 LDU Quito 24 10 5 9 23:20 35
7 Leones del Norte 24 8 8 8 24:25 32
8 Dep. Cuenca 23 9 4 10 21:28 31
9 Libertad 23 8 6 9 24:26 30
10 Guayaquil City 24 7 8 9 20:25 29
11 Emelec 24 7 8 9 19:28 29
12 Mushuc Runa 23 7 7 9 29:34 28
13 Orense 24 7 6 11 28:36 27
14 Tecnico U. 23 8 2 13 20:29 26
15 Delfin 24 6 6 12 15:24 24
16 Manta 23 3 5 15 9:29 14
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)