Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Delfin vs U. Catolica

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Delfin Logo

Delfin

0 - 1
FT
U. Catolica Logo

U. Catolica

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sub
Anangono G. In: Nazareno D.
Out: Anangono G.
46'
Sub
Arce J. In: Ushina K.
Out: Arce J.
46'
Sub
Pena B. In: Ozaeta T.
Out: Pena B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Delfin and U. Catolica finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. Catolica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Delfin
30%
Draws
42%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • U. Catolica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • U. Catolica are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Delfin Clean Sheet 14%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin U. Catolica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.66 1.8
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs U. Catolica
0:1
May 16, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Delfin
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Delfin
1:1
May 18, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs U. Catolica
1:0
Sep 23, 2024 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Delfin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 19 / 100
U. Catolica 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: U. Catolica conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Delfin found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Delfin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS U. Catolica
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0
Delfin
23 Aug
Delfin
0 : 1
Aucas
20 Aug
Juventud Italiana
0 : 1
Delfin
Page 1 of 6

U. Catolica

(Away)
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
29 Aug
Independiente del Valle
2 : 2
U. Catolica
22 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 1
Manta
18 Aug
Macara
1 : 1
U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 29 23 2 4 70:31 71
2 Aucas 29 14 7 8 33:28 49
3 U. Catolica 29 13 9 7 49:26 48
4 Macara 29 14 6 9 40:33 48
5 LDU Quito 29 13 6 10 30:23 45
6 Barcelona SC 29 11 10 8 31:24 43
7 Libertad 29 11 8 10 31:31 41
8 Leones del Norte 29 10 9 10 31:31 39
9 Emelec 29 10 9 10 25:33 39
10 Mushuc Runa 29 9 11 9 34:35 38
11 Guayaquil City 29 9 9 11 30:35 36
12 Dep. Cuenca 29 10 5 14 24:36 35
13 Orense 29 9 6 14 35:45 33
14 Tecnico U. 29 9 2 18 27:42 29
15 Delfin 29 7 6 16 18:30 27
16 Manta 29 5 5 19 17:42 20
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)