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Delfin vs U. Catolica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sub
Anangono G. In: Nazareno D.
Out: Anangono G.
46'
Sub
Arce J. In: Ushina K.
Out: Arce J.
46'
Sub
Pena B. In: Ozaeta T.
Out: Pena B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Delfin and U. Catolica finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. Catolica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Delfin
30%
Draws
23%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Delfin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • U. Catolica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Delfin Clean Sheet 68%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Delfin U. Catolica
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs U. Catolica
0:1
May 16, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Delfin
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Delfin
1:1
May 18, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs U. Catolica
1:0
Sep 23, 2024 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Delfin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Delfin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Delfin 41 / 100
U. Catolica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Delfin U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delfin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Delfin found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

U. Catolica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Delfin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Delfin VS U. Catolica
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Delfin

(Home)
24 Oct
Orense
4 : 0
Delfin
18 Oct
Delfin
4 : 2
Manta
09 Oct
Delfin
3 : 2
Mushuc Runa
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
Page 1 of 6

U. Catolica

(Away)
23 Oct
Independiente del Valle
0 : 0
U. Catolica
18 Oct
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
U. Catolica
11 Oct
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Macara
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)