Sport Picks

DEM vs Ajax (Am) Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2024/2025

DEM

1 - 2

Ajax (Am)

Our Tip

Match Events

de Vries T.

73'

Sporkslede F.

(Penalty)

76'

Correia T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ajax (Am) in this KNVB Beker 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

DEM

15%

Draws

Ajax (Am)

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: DEM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

DEM average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Ajax (Am)'s 1.33.
DEM are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Ajax (Am), who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Ajax (Am) here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

DEM Clean Sheet 12%

Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	DEM	Ajax (Am)
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	6
Draws	6	7
Losses	18	17
Goals Scored	1.37	1.33
Goals Conceded	2.67	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Derde Divisie

DEM vs Ajax (Am)

2:2

Sep 7, 2024 Derde Divisie

Ajax (Am) vs DEM

2:0

Sep 4, 2024 KNVB Beker

DEM vs Ajax (Am)

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DEM Compare

Top Goalscorer de Vries T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Ajax (Am) Compare

Top Goalscorer Correia T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DEM 47 / 100

Ajax (Am) 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

DEM Ajax (Am)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ajax (Am) conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Ajax (Am) lost 5 of their last 5 games.

DEM's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

DEM VS Ajax (Am)

1.5 Goals Scored 1.13

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

DEM

(Home)

26 Jul

DEM

3 : 5

RKAV Volendam

24 May

Excelsior 31

4 : 2

DEM

17 May

DEM

0 : 2

Genemuiden

10 May

Sportlust

3 : 0

DEM

03 May

DEM

4 : 3

Sparta Nijkerk

Page 1 of 6

Ajax (Am)

(Away)

02 Sept

VVSB

2 : 0

Ajax (Am)

29 Jul

Ajax (Am)

3 : 4

Jong Almere City

04 Jun

Ajax (Am)

0 : 1

Kampong

31 May

Kampong

4 : 2

Ajax (Am)

24 May

Genemuiden

1 : 0

Ajax (Am)

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

De Graafschap -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

Sparta Nijkerk 6

Laar 0

Achilles Veen 2

Harkemase Boys 1

HV & CV Quick 4

UNA 1

Capelle 3

HSC '21 1

Gemert 4

Excelsior 31 0

Winterswijk 2

CVV Blauw Wit 34 0

TBD -

Heracles -

Nijmegen -

TBD -

Zwolle -

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

Den Haag -

TBD -

Cambuur -

AFC -

TBD -

GVVV -

RKAV Volendam -

TBD -

VV Heerjansdam 1

Blauw Geel 4

SV Juliana 31 4

Geldrop 2

Smitshoek 1

Lisse 2

TBD -

Utrecht -

AZ Alkmaar -

TBD -

DEM 1

Ajax (Am) 2

HBC 3

Kolping Boys 4

TBD -

Groningen -

Ajax -

TBD -

Telstar -

TBD -

Helmond Sport -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

Almere City -

De Treffers -

TBD -

Sittard -

Kozakken Boys 1

VVSB 2

VV Kloetinge 1

KVV Quick 20 2

ASWH 3

SVBO 1

TBD -

Hardenberg -

ACV Assen -

TBD -

SteDoCo 2

IJsselmeervogels 3

TBD -

Heerenveen -

PSV -

TBD -

SV Poortugaal 3

ONS Sneek 1

TBD -

Koninklijke HFC -

TBD -

FC Emmen -

EVV 0

RKVV Zwaluw 1

Rijnvogels 2

Forum Sport 0

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Venlo -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Rohda Raalte 0

Sportlust 4

TBD -

Roda -

FC 's-Gravenzande 0

RKAVV Leidschendam 2

VV DOVO 2

SVV Scheveningen 1

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Maastricht -

TBD -

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Feyenoord -

GOES 2

USV Hercules 4

Huizen 1

Excelsior Maassluis 2

TBD -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

Spakenburg -

TBD -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Twente -

TOGB 0

VV Noordwijk 4

HSV Hoek 2

Putten 1

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Meerssen 0

Genemuiden 1

ADO 20 Heemskerk 2

Schaijk 0

TBD -

Willem II -

HVV Hollandia 0

RKSV UDI 19 1

De Bilt 2

Eemdijk 4

DVS '33 Ermelo 1

OJC Rosmalen 2

Elinkwijk 1

Olde Veste 2

Barendrecht -

TBD -

TEC 4

Urk 2

TBD -

NAC Breda -

1/64-finals

De Graafschap -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

Sparta Nijkerk 4

Achilles Veen 2

HV & CV Quick 0

Capelle 3

Gemert 0

Winterswijk 2

TBD -

Heracles -

Nijmegen -

TBD -

Zwolle -

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

Den Haag -

TBD -

Cambuur -

AFC 3

GVVV 0

RKAV Volendam 2

Blauw Geel 3

SV Juliana 31 1

Lisse 2

TBD -

Utrecht -

AZ Alkmaar -

TBD -

Ajax (Am) 1

Kolping Boys 2

TBD -

Groningen -

Ajax -

TBD -

Telstar -

TBD -

Helmond Sport -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

Almere City -

De Treffers -

TBD -

Sittard -

VVSB 1

KVV Quick 20 2

ASWH 1

Hardenberg 0

ACV Assen 2

IJsselmeervogels 5

TBD -

Heerenveen -

PSV -

TBD -

SV Poortugaal 1

Koninklijke HFC 3

TBD -

FC Emmen -

RKVV Zwaluw 1

Rijnvogels 4

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Venlo -

Rijnsburgse Boys 1

Sportlust 0

TBD -

Roda -

RKAVV Leidschendam 0

VV DOVO 1

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Maastricht -

TBD -

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Feyenoord -

USV Hercules 3

Excelsior Maassluis 2

TBD -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

Spakenburg -

TBD -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Twente -

VV Noordwijk 2

HSV Hoek 0

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Genemuiden 1

ADO 20 Heemskerk 0

TBD -

Willem II -

RKSV UDI 19 1

Eemdijk 2

OJC Rosmalen 2

Olde Veste 1

Barendrecht 4

TEC 0

TBD -

NAC Breda -

1/32-finals

De Graafschap 4

TOP Oss 1

Sparta Nijkerk 5

Capelle 1

Winterswijk 0

Heracles 1

Nijmegen 4

Zwolle 3

Waalwijk 3

Vitesse 1

Den Haag 1

Cambuur 4

AFC 3

Blauw Geel 1

Lisse 1

Utrecht 2

AZ Alkmaar -

TBD -

Kolping Boys 1

Groningen 5

Ajax -

TBD -

Telstar 3

Helmond Sport 0

Quick Boys 3

Almere City 0

De Treffers 1

Sittard 4

KVV Quick 20 0

ASWH 2

IJsselmeervogels 2

Heerenveen 3

PSV -

TBD -

Koninklijke HFC 1

FC Emmen 0

Rijnvogels 0

Eindhoven FC 7

Excelsior 2

Venlo 1

Rijnsburgse Boys 3

Roda 1

VV DOVO 1

FC Volendam 5

Maastricht 2

Den Bosch 1

TBD -

Feyenoord -

USV Hercules 1

Sparta Rotterdam 6

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

Spakenburg 2

Katwijk 4

TBD -

Twente -

VV Noordwijk 2

Dordrecht 1

Genemuiden 2

Willem II 3

Eemdijk 2

OJC Rosmalen 1

Barendrecht 2

NAC Breda 1

1/16-finals

De Graafschap 4

Sparta Nijkerk 0

Heracles 1

Nijmegen 0

Waalwijk 4

Cambuur 1

AFC 0

Utrecht 8

AZ Alkmaar 3

Groningen 1

Ajax 2

Telstar 0

Quick Boys 3

Sittard 1

ASWH 0

Heerenveen 1

PSV 8

Koninklijke HFC 0

Eindhoven FC 1

Excelsior 3

Rijnsburgse Boys 2

FC Volendam 0

Maastricht 1

Feyenoord 2

Sparta Rotterdam 1

G.A. Eagles 2

Katwijk 2

Twente 3

VV Noordwijk 2

Willem II 1

Eemdijk 1

Barendrecht 6

1/8-finals

De Graafschap 0

Heracles 2

Waalwijk 1

Utrecht 2

AZ Alkmaar 2

Ajax 0

Quick Boys 3

Heerenveen 2

PSV 5

Excelsior 4

Rijnsburgse Boys 1

Feyenoord 4

G.A. Eagles 3

Twente 1

VV Noordwijk 1

Barendrecht 0

Quarter-finals

Heracles 2

Utrecht 0

AZ Alkmaar 3

Quick Boys 1

PSV 2

Feyenoord 0

G.A. Eagles 3

VV Noordwijk 1

Semi-finals

Heracles 2

AZ Alkmaar 3

PSV 1

G.A. Eagles 2

Final

AZ Alkmaar 1

G.A. Eagles 2

DEM vs Ajax (Am) Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands

DEM

Ajax (Am)

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

DEM Compare

Ajax (Am) Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

DEM

Ajax (Am)

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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