Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Schep V.
5'
5'
van Son D.
76'
76'
Basaiyd T.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between DEM and Ajax (Am) finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: DEM
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and DEM come out ahead of Ajax (Am) on wins alone.
- Model gives DEM a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ajax (Am) have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
DEM Clean Sheet 12%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DEM | Ajax (Am) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.53 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2025 Derde Divisie
DEM vs Ajax (Am)
2:2
Sep 7, 2024 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs DEM
2:0
Sep 4, 2024 KNVB Beker
DEM vs Ajax (Am)
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
DEM Compare
Top Goalscorer Basaiyd T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Ajax (Am) Compare
Top Goalscorer Schep V.
1 Goals Assists Leader van Son D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DEM 47 / 100
Ajax (Am) 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DEM Ajax (Am)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ajax (Am) let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Away concern: Ajax (Am) has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: DEM scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
DEM VS Ajax (Am)
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
DEM
(Home) 26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5 RKAV Volendam
24 May
Excelsior 31
4 : 2 DEM
17 May
DEM
0 : 2 Genemuiden
10 May
Sportlust
3 : 0 DEM
03 May
DEM
4 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5 RKAV Volendam
17 May
DEM
0 : 2 Genemuiden
03 May
DEM
4 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
12 Apr
DEM
0 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Mar
DEM
0 : 1 Rohda Raalte
Page 1 of 4
Ajax (Am)
(Away) 02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0 Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4 Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1 Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0 Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0 Ajax (Am)
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0 Ajax (Am)
10 May
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 1 Ajax (Am)
19 Apr
DVS '33 Ermelo
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
