Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: DVS '33 Ermelo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to DVS '33 Ermelo lately — more wins on the board than DEM.
- DEM are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors DVS '33 Ermelo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
DEM Clean Sheet 16%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DEM | DVS '33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.67 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2025 Derde Divisie
DEM vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs DEM
6:1
May 4, 2024 Derde Divisie
DEM vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:2
Nov 25, 2023 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs DEM
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DEM 36 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DEM DVS '33 Ermelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
DVS '33 Ermelo let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
DEM scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: DVS '33 Ermelo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS DVS '33 Ermelo
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
DEM
(Home) 26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5 RKAV Volendam
24 May
Excelsior 31
4 : 2 DEM
17 May
DEM
0 : 2 Genemuiden
10 May
Sportlust
3 : 0 DEM
03 May
DEM
4 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
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26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5 RKAV Volendam
17 May
DEM
0 : 2 Genemuiden
03 May
DEM
4 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
12 Apr
DEM
0 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Mar
DEM
0 : 1 Rohda Raalte
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DVS '33 Ermelo
(Away) 26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
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22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
02 Sept
ATC 65
1 : 2 DVS '33 Ermelo
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
