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DEM vs Lienden Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Mon, Apr 13, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

DEM host Lienden in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: DEM at 1.42 goals for, 2.48 against; Lienden at 0.84 for, 1.89 against. Head-to-head, DEM have won 0 to Lienden's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.35 - 1.75) back DEM to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
DEM
15%
Draws
49%
Lienden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lienden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • DEM have won more games recently than Lienden.
  • Lienden are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
DEM Clean Sheet 12%
Lienden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DEM Lienden
Matches Played 33 19
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.42 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2020 Derde Divisie
DEM vs Lienden
0:0
Aug 25, 2019 Derde Divisie
Lienden vs DEM
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DEM 19 / 100
Lienden 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DEM Lienden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lienden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lienden has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.

DEM's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Lienden lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

DEM VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

DEM

(Home)
26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5
RKAV Volendam
24 May
Excelsior 31
4 : 2
DEM
17 May
DEM
0 : 2
Genemuiden
10 May
Sportlust
3 : 0
DEM
03 May
DEM
4 : 3
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 7

Lienden

(Away)
08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0
HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3
OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3
Jong Den Haag
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)