Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Dietz J.
26'
26'
Hugo K.
37'
37'
de Vries T.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
DEM in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored DEM.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Sparta Nijkerk have won more games recently than DEM.
- 68% — that's where the model lands on Sparta Nijkerk taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
DEM Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DEM | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 2.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.67 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2025 Derde Divisie
DEM vs Sparta Nijkerk
4:3
Nov 23, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs DEM
3:2
Feb 17, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs DEM
4:1
Sep 16, 2023 Derde Divisie
DEM vs Sparta Nijkerk
2:0
Aug 14, 2021 KNVB Beker
DEM vs Sparta Nijkerk
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
DEM Compare
Top Goalscorer Dietz J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Herraez Gallego B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Sparta Nijkerk Compare
Top Goalscorer Hugo K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fonville T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DEM 10 / 100
Sparta Nijkerk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DEM Sparta Nijkerk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
DEM's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Sparta Nijkerk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
Recent resilience: DEM stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sparta Nijkerk
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
DEM
(Home) 26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5 RKAV Volendam
24 May
Excelsior 31
4 : 2 DEM
17 May
DEM
0 : 2 Genemuiden
10 May
Sportlust
3 : 0 DEM
03 May
DEM
4 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5 RKAV Volendam
17 May
DEM
0 : 2 Genemuiden
03 May
DEM
4 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
12 Apr
DEM
0 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Mar
DEM
0 : 1 Rohda Raalte
Page 1 of 3
Sparta Nijkerk
(Away) 26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
30 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
16 May
Sportlust
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
