Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Pieters T.
23'
23'
de Vries T.
45'
45'
de Vries T.
AI Match Summary
DEM in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored DEM.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: DEM
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- DEM haven't matched USV Hercules's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
DEM Clean Sheet 15%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DEM | USV Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.67 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
DEM vs USV Hercules
4:3
Oct 6, 2024 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs DEM
5:2
Mar 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
DEM vs USV Hercules
2:3
Oct 29, 2023 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs DEM
2:0
Apr 2, 2023 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs DEM
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
DEM Compare
Top Goalscorer de Vries T.
3 Goals Assists Leader Dietz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
USV Hercules Compare
Top Goalscorer Pieters T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bastmeijer S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DEM 30 / 100
USV Hercules 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DEM USV Hercules
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
DEM's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
USV Hercules's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
USV Hercules's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS USV Hercules
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
DEM
(Home) 26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5 RKAV Volendam
24 May
Excelsior 31
4 : 2 DEM
17 May
DEM
0 : 2 Genemuiden
10 May
Sportlust
3 : 0 DEM
03 May
DEM
4 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
DEM
3 : 5 RKAV Volendam
17 May
DEM
0 : 2 Genemuiden
03 May
DEM
4 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
12 Apr
DEM
0 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Mar
DEM
0 : 1 Rohda Raalte
Page 1 of 3
USV Hercules
(Away) 20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 USV Hercules
08 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
1 : 1 USV Hercules
23 May
TEC
0 : 0 USV Hercules
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
