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Democrata SL vs Tupi-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Leo Reis
45' Event
Franca
45' Event
Thomasel

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2024 game between Democrata SL and Tupi-MG finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Democrata SL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Democrata SL
15%
Draws
17%
Tupi-MG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Democrata SL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Tupi-MG haven't matched Democrata SL's recent run of results.
  • Democrata SL are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 68%
Tupi-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Democrata SL Tupi-MG
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 16 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.4 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 Mineiro 2
Tupi-MG vs Democrata SL
1:1
May 10, 2024 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Tupi-MG
4:0
May 25, 2022 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Tupi-MG
3:0
Jul 24, 2021 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs Tupi-MG
1:1
Feb 29, 2020 Mineiro 2
Tupi-MG vs Democrata SL
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Democrata SL Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Reis
1 Goals
Assists Leader Franca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tupi-MG Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Democrata SL 95 / 100
Tupi-MG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Democrata SL Tupi-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Democrata SL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Democrata SL scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Tupi-MG conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Democrata SL has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Democrata SL VS Tupi-MG
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Democrata SL

(Home)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
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Tupi-MG

(Away)
22 Nov
Boa
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
02 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
3 : 1
Tupi-MG
25 Oct
Tupi-MG
0 : 3
Novo Esporte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betim FC 10 3 5 2 8:7 14
2 Aymores 10 3 4 3 9:9 13
3 Valeriodoce 10 2 7 1 10:8 13
4 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 6 2 14:11 12
5 Democrata SL 10 2 6 2 9:6 12
6 Tupi-MG 10 2 4 4 5:14 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 URT 10 5 4 1 12:7 19
2 North Esporte Clube 10 6 0 4 9:6 18
3 Mamore 10 4 3 3 9:8 15
4 Caldense 10 2 5 3 6:7 11
5 Varginha 10 1 5 4 7:10 8
6 Boa 10 1 5 4 8:13 8
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2024 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2024 (Main)