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Dempo vs Delhi FC

India India

I-League 2024/2025 Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dempo play Delhi FC in the I-League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dempo averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Delhi FC averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Dempo won 1, Delhi FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 2, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Dempo and 1.88 for Delhi FC. This points to a Dempo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dempo
32%
Draws
29%
Delhi FC
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Dempo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Dempo picked up more points recently compared to Delhi FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Dempo Clean Sheet 10%
Delhi FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dempo Delhi FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 I-League
Delhi FC vs Dempo
2:1
Jan 29, 2025 I-League
Dempo vs Delhi FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dempo Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Delhi FC Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dempo 37 / 100
Delhi FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dempo Delhi FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dempo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dempo attacking → ← attacking Delhi FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dempo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Delhi FC let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Dempo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Delhi FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 31
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter Kashi22126442:3142
2Churchill Brothers22117445:2540
3Real Kashmir22107531:2537
4Gokulam22114745:2937
5Rajasthan United2296734:3333
6Dempo2285935:3329
7Namdhari2285928:3029
8Lajong2277846:4528
9Sreenidi Deccan2277834:3728
10Aizawl FC22651135:4623
11SC Bengaluru22561124:4221
12Delhi FC22351421:4414