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Stadium Background

Den Bosch vs Almere City

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Karlsson Grach S.
Assist: Monzialo K.
44' Event
Monzialo K.
57' Event
Jacobs Ja.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Almere City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Den Bosch
15%
Draws
68%
Almere City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almere City come out ahead of Den Bosch on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Almere City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Almere City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Almere City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%
Almere City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Bosch Almere City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.52 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Almere City
1:1
May 2, 2026 Eredivisie
Almere City vs Den Bosch
3:0
Apr 29, 2026 Eredivisie
Den Bosch vs Almere City
2:3
Apr 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Den Bosch
1:2
Nov 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Almere City
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsson Grach S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monzialo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Jacobs Ja.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Druijf F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 10 / 100
Almere City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Bosch Almere City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Den Bosch scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Almere City has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Den Bosch stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Bosch VS Almere City
1.75 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Bosch

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4
Vitesse
21 Aug
Den Bosch
5 : 2
Eindhoven FC
14 Aug
Heracles
3 : 2
Den Bosch
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Almere City

(Away)
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
21 Aug
Vitesse
0 : 3
Almere City
14 Aug
Almere City
3 : 1
Jong PSV
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Roda 2
Waalwijk 3
TBD -
Willem II -
Den Bosch 2
Almere City 6
TBD -
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Quarter-finals
Waalwijk 1
Willem II 2
Almere City 5
De Graafschap 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Semi-finals
Willem II 3
Almere City 0
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Final
Willem II 4
FC Volendam 3