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Den Bosch vs Almere City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
de Vries J. In: Boumassaoudi I.
Out: de Vries J.
46'
Sub
Bijleveld T. In: Huisman B.
Out: Bijleveld T.
46'
Sub
de Nijs O. In: Burgering B.
Out: de Nijs O.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Den Bosch and Almere City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Den Bosch
15%
Draws
54%
Almere City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almere City come out ahead of Den Bosch on wins alone.
  • Model gives Almere City a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%
Almere City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Bosch Almere City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.48 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Almere City
1:1
May 2, 2026 Eredivisie
Almere City vs Den Bosch
3:0
Apr 29, 2026 Eredivisie
Den Bosch vs Almere City
2:3
Apr 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Den Bosch
1:2
Nov 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Almere City
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer Boumassaoudi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Druijf F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Bosch 10 / 100
Almere City 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Bosch Almere City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Almere City conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Den Bosch went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Den Bosch VS Almere City
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Bosch

(Home)
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Den Bosch
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

Almere City

(Away)
09 Oct
Almere City
3 : 0
Eindhoven FC
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0
FC Volendam
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)